Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Opinion | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.2% | 22% | 3.2% on Polymarket |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $24 · Liquidity $11.8K
- Opinion: Volume $1 · Liquidity $5.9M
Resolution rules
Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this m…
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the Republic of China (Taiwan), Lai Ching-te, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Lai Ching-te will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Taiwan within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.