Venezuela leader end of 2026? — odds by venue
| Outcome | Polymarket | Limitless | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Maduro | 91.8% | 92.5% | 91.8% on Polymarket |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 8% | 8.5% | 8% on Polymarket |
Venues
- Polymarket: Volume $42.2M · Liquidity $2.5M
- Limitless: Volume $24 · Liquidity —
Resolution rules
Polymarket
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the U…
Limitless
<p><strong><em>Additional context — Updated August 25, 2026</em></strong></p><p><em>Per the rules, “officially holds” refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. As of this clarification, The UN-recognized government of Venezuela has not formally removed or replaced Nicolás Maduro as President, and official government sources and statements continue to identify him as the President of Venezuela. Tem…