Oscar Winner: Best Director

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 09:19:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price Christopher Nolan (59.0%), Denis Villeneuve (15.0%), Nathan Fielder (10.0%). The market has $344K in volume and closes on Fri, 31 Dec 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Christopher Nolan59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
Denis Villeneuve15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Nathan Fielder10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Martin McDonagh3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Alejandro G. Iñárritu2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Steven Spielberg1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Tie1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Danny Boyle1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Na Hong-jin1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
David Fincher1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Janus Metz Pedersen1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Olivia Wilde1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Andrew Haigh1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Joel Coen1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Christopher Nolan:

If Christopher Nolan has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Sources

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