When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:27:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2030 (66.9%), Before 2028 (55.2%), Before 2027 (6.0%). The market has $1.2M in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 66.9% | 66.9¢ | 33.1¢ |
| Before 2028 | 55.2% | 55.2¢ | 44.8¢ |
| Before 2027 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.2M
- Liquidity: $1.2M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2030:
If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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