How high will Bitcoin get this year?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:31:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $99,999.99 (11.0%), Above $109,999.99 (5.0%), Above $119,999.99 (4.0%). The market has $5.5M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $99,999.9911.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Above $109,999.995.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $119,999.994.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $199,999.992.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $139,999.992.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $149,999.992.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $129,999.992.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $99,999.99:

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $99999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Sources

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