How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:33:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below 45 (94.0%), E45 (3.0%), E46 (1.0%). The market has $15.8M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Below 4594.0%94.0¢6.0¢
E453.0%3.0¢97.0¢
E461.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E471.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E561.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E521.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E531.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E541.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E571.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E491.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E501.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E551.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E481.0%1.0¢99.0¢
E511.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 571.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below 45:

If the Republican party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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