MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
As of Sun, 27 Sep 2026 22:09:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Raye (98.0%), Madonna (96.0%), Sienna Spiro (83.0%). The market has $137K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raye | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Madonna | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Sienna Spiro | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Charli xcx | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Doja Cat | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Taylor Swift | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Any member of CORTIS | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Beyonce | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Miley Cyrus | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Bad Bunny | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| PinkPantheress | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Zara Larsson | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Dua Lipa | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Any member of KATSEYE | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $137K
- Liquidity: $137K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Raye:
If Raye performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) the MTV Video Music Awards 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes. Additional clarification(s): Raye appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND Raye actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Raye's official representatives. Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Raye’s anticipated performance at MTV Video Music Awards 2026. If an announced Raye later withdraws from MTV Video Music Awards 2026, this will not affect the resolution of the Contract. The following constitutes a performance and IS encompassed by the Payout Criterion: A full solo performance of one or more songs. A collaborative or joint performance in which Raye is physically present and actively contributes musically. A guest appearance during another artist's set in which Raye performs at least one full verse, chorus, or musical segment. A medley in which Raye is present and actively performing, even if Raye's portion is partial. A performance in which Raye performs entirely via an officially produced and sanctioned satellite feed, video link, or holographic display that…
Sources
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