New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 12:16:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (12.0%). The market has $248K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $248K
- Liquidity: $533
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Sources
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