Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 14:36:34 UTC, Polymarket traders price John Malkovich (95.0%), Matt Damon (93.7%), Andrew Scott (90.5%). The market has $101K in volume and closes on Thu, 21 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Malkovich | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Matt Damon | 93.7% | 93.7¢ | 6.3¢ |
| Andrew Scott | 90.5% | 90.5¢ | 9.5¢ |
| Tom Cruise | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| John Turturro | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Ryan Gosling | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ |
| Anthony Ippolito | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ |
| Robert Pattinson | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
| Sebastian Stan | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Jaafar Jackson | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Pedro Pascal | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Timothée Chalamet | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Sam Rockwell | 6.6% | 6.6¢ | 93.4¢ |
| Josh O'Connor | 4.9% | 4.9¢ | 95.1¢ |
| Adam Driver | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $101K
- Liquidity: $41K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
Related markets
- Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
- Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
- Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
- Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
- Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
- Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.