Presidential Election Winner 2028
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:21:55 UTC, Polymarket traders price Jon Ossoff (20.8%), JD Vance (20.6%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (12.2%). The market has $147.0M in volume and closes on Wed, 08 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 20.8% | 20.8¢ | 79.3¢ |
| JD Vance | 20.6% | 20.6¢ | 79.3¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 12.2% | 12.2¢ | 87.8¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 9.2% | 9.2¢ | 90.8¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | 7.2% | 7.2¢ | 92.8¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 5.8% | 5.8¢ | 94.3¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| James Talarico | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.6¢ |
| Andy Beshear | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.7¢ |
| Tucker Carlson | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 98.9¢ |
| Raphael Warnock | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 98.9¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Mark Kelly | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | Kalshi | 23.0% | |
| JD Vance | Limitless | 20.5% | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Limitless | 12.3% | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Kalshi | 10.0% | |
| Marco Rubio | Limitless | 9.3% | |
| Marco Rubio | Kalshi | 11.0% | |
| Gavin Newsom | Limitless | 7.2% | |
| Gavin Newsom | Kalshi | 8.4% | |
| Ron DeSantis | Kalshi | 6.0% | |
| Kamala Harris | Limitless | 3.8% | |
| Kamala Harris | Kalshi | 3.0% | |
| Josh Shapiro | Limitless | 2.8% | |
| Josh Shapiro | Kalshi | 2.9% | |
| Pete Buttigieg | Kalshi | 2.0% | |
| James Talarico | Kalshi | 3.1% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $147.0M
- Liquidity: $51.6M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Sources
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