Presidential Election Winner 2028
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 15:31:30 UTC, Limitless traders price Other (50.0%), JD Vance (20.0%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (12.3%). The market has $17K in volume and closes on Wed, 08 Nov 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| JD Vance | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 12.3% | 12.3¢ | 87.8¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 9.3% | 9.3¢ | 90.8¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | 7.2% | 7.2¢ | 92.8¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.2¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | 2.5% | 2.5¢ | 97.5¢ |
| Donald Trump | 1.3% | 1.3¢ | 98.8¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| JD Vance | Polymarket | 20.2% | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Polymarket | 12.0% | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Marco Rubio | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Marco Rubio | Polymarket | 9.3% | |
| Gavin Newsom | Polymarket | 7.2% | |
| Gavin Newsom | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Kamala Harris | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Kamala Harris | Polymarket | 3.5% | |
| Josh Shapiro | Polymarket | 2.1% | |
| Josh Shapiro | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Donald Trump | Opinion | 50.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Limitless
- Volume: $17K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Other:
<p>The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.</p><p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is not listed above. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.</p><p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) and no individual is inaugurated as President of the United States by January 20, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.</p><p>Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”</p>
Sources
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