Richest person on December 31, 2026?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 14:01:22 UTC, Polymarket traders price Elon Musk (96.0%), Bernard Arnault (0.9%), Warren Buffett (0.8%). The market has $1.9M in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Bernard Arnault | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
| Warren Buffett | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| Jeff Bezos | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Steve Ballmer | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Larry Ellison | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Jensen Huang | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Sergey Brin | 0.2% | 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Larry Page | 0.2% | 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Michael Dell | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1.9M
- Liquidity: $220K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Sources
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