South Dakota corn yield this year
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 09:19:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 125 bu/acre (98.0%), Above 135 bu/acre (96.0%), Above 130 bu/acre (95.0%). The market has $485K in volume and closes on Sun, 07 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 125 bu/acre | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 135 bu/acre | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 130 bu/acre | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 140 bu/acre | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 145 bu/acre | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| Above 150 bu/acre | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Above 155 bu/acre | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Above 160 bu/acre | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Above 170 bu/acre | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Above 165 bu/acre | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above 175 bu/acre | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 180 bu/acre | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $485K
- Liquidity: $485K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 125 bu/acre:
If USDA NASS reports that South Dakota's corn for grain yield per harvested acre for 2026 is above 125 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on South Dakota’s 2026 corn for grain yield per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS in the first Crop Production Annual Summary containing the final 2026 estimate. Yield is measured in bushels per harvested acre. Corn silage yield will not be considered. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Sources
Related markets
- Recession this year?
- How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
- Recession next year?
- When will the next US recession start?
- How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
- Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.