What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 11:04:56 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↓ 70,000 (53.5%), ↓ 65,000 (32.5%), ↑ 90,000 (23.5%). The market has $1.6M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 70,000 | 53.5% | 53.5¢ | 46.5¢ |
| ↓ 65,000 | 32.5% | 32.5¢ | 67.5¢ |
| ↑ 90,000 | 23.5% | 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ |
| ↓ 60,000 | 16.5% | 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ |
| ↑ 95,000 | 12.5% | 12.5¢ | 87.5¢ |
| ↓ 55,000 | 11.5% | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ |
| ↓ 50,000 | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| ↑ 100,000 | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| ↓ 45,000 | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.2¢ |
| ↑ 110,000 | 3.9% | 3.9¢ | 96.2¢ |
| ↑ 120,000 | 3.4% | 3.4¢ | 96.7¢ |
| ↓ 40,000 | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 98.0¢ |
| ↑ 130,000 | 2.1% | 2.1¢ | 98.0¢ |
| ↓ 35,000 | 1.9% | 1.9¢ | 98.1¢ |
| ↓ 30,000 | 1.8% | 1.8¢ | 98.2¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 90,000 | Limitless | 22.5% | |
| ↓ 55,000 | Limitless | 11.3% | |
| ↓ 50,000 | Limitless | 7.2% | |
| ↑ 100,000 | Limitless | 8.0% | |
| ↓ 45,000 | Limitless | 4.5% | |
| ↑ 110,000 | Limitless | 3.8% | |
| ↑ 120,000 | Limitless | 3.3% | |
| ↓ 40,000 | Limitless | 2.0% | |
| ↑ 130,000 | Limitless | 2.0% | |
| ↓ 35,000 | Limitless | 1.8% | |
| ↓ 30,000 | Limitless | 2.0% | |
| ↑ 140,000 | Limitless | 1.5% | |
| ↓ 25,000 | Limitless | 1.5% | |
| ↑ 150,000 | Limitless | 1.5% | |
| ↑ 160,000 | Limitless | 1.5% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1.6M
- Liquidity: $3.7M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↓ 70,000:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources
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