Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 11:59:02 UTC, Polymarket traders price Somaliland (11.0%), Jordan (6.5%), Lebanon (5.0%). The market has $1.1M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Somaliland | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Jordan | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| Lebanon | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Qatar | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.2¢ |
| Kuwait | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Azerbaijan | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| Egypt | 4.4% | 4.4¢ | 95.6¢ |
| Syria | 4.3% | 4.3¢ | 95.7¢ |
| Oman | 4.1% | 4.1¢ | 95.9¢ |
| Pakistan | 3.7% | 3.7¢ | 96.3¢ |
| Turkey | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| Saudi Arabia | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1.1M
- Liquidity: $276K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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