Who will have a top 20 song this year?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:09:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Dolly Parton (100.0%), Mariah Carey (97.0%), Lil Baby (96.0%). The market has $199K in volume and closes on Sat, 26 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolly Parton | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| Mariah Carey | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Lil Baby | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Post Malone | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Travis Scott | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| The Weeknd | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| SZA | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Beyoncé | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Kendrick Lamar | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Tyler, The Creator | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Doechii | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Shaboozey | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Lady Gaga | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Frank Ocean | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Megan Thee Stallion | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $199K
- Liquidity: $199K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Dolly Parton:
If Dolly Parton has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
Sources
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- Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026
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