2028 Democratic presidential nominee

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:38:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Jon Ossoff (27.0%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (13.0%), Gavin Newsom (12.0%). The market has $263.6M in volume and closes on Tue, 07 Nov 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Jon Ossoff27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Gavin Newsom12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Kamala Harris5.2%5.2¢94.8¢
Pete Buttigieg5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Andy Beshear4.6%4.6¢95.4¢
Josh Shapiro4.4%4.4¢95.6¢
James Talarico3.7%3.7¢96.3¢
Mark Kelly3.6%3.6¢96.4¢
Abdul El-Sayed3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Wes Moore2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
J.B. Pritzker2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Raphael Warnock2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Ro Khanna1.5%1.5¢98.5¢
Gretchen Whitmer1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Jon Ossoff:

If Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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