Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:10:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Ron DeSantis (89.0%), Ted Cruz (81.0%), J.D. Vance (77.0%). The market has $621K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ron DeSantis | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| J.D. Vance | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| Tom Cotton | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Thomas Massie | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Rand Paul | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Doug Burgum | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Marco Rubio | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Brian Kemp | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| John Kennedy | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Chris Christie | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| John McEntee | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Joe Kent | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $621K
- Liquidity: $621K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Ron DeSantis:
If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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