Will the House impeach Trump?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 11:06:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (63.0%), Before Oct 1, 2027 (58.0%), Before Aug 1, 2027 (51.0%). The market has $6.3M in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Feb 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 58.0% | 58.0¢ | 42.0¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Before May 1, 2027 | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6.3M
- Liquidity: $6.3M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:
If the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill impeaching the President of the United States after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The President must hold the office when an impeachment resolution passes against him or her .
Sources
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