How high will gas prices in Texas get this year?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 11:53:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.20 (12.0%), Above $4.40 (6.0%), Above $5.40 (4.0%). The market has $259K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $4.2012.0%12.0¢88.0¢
Above $4.406.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above $5.404.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $4.804.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $5.204.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $5.604.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $4.604.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $5.003.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above $5.802.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above $6.002.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.20:

If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly greater than $4.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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