How high will US gas prices get this year?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:32:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.60 (18.0%), Above $4.80 (13.0%), Above $5.00 (12.0%). The market has $2.0M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.60 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Above $4.80 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Above $5.00 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Above $5.20 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above $5.40 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above $5.60 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $5.80 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $6.60 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above $6.00 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above $6.40 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above $6.20 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above $7.00 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above $6.80 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2.0M
- Liquidity: $2.0M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.60:
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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