When will any company achieve AGI?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 11:13:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2030 (80.0%), Before Jan 1, 2031 (78.0%), Before Jan 1, 2029 (76.0%). The market has $303K in volume and closes on Wed, 01 Jan 2031.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 203080.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Before Jan 1, 203178.0%78.0¢22.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202976.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Before Oct 1, 202869.0%69.0¢31.0¢
Before Jul 1, 202867.0%67.0¢33.0¢
Before Apr 1, 202851.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202847.0%47.0¢53.0¢
Before Oct 1, 202735.0%35.0¢65.0¢
Before Jul 1, 202730.0%30.0¢70.0¢
Before Apr 1, 202718.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Before Jan 1, 20279.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Before Jul 1, 20261.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.