Tesla Optimus released this year?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:39:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (3.0%). The market has $481K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $481K
- Liquidity: $481K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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