Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 14:36:16 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (30.5%), June 30, 2027 (15.0%), December 31, 2026 (4.9%). The market has $1.2M in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 30.5% | 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 4.9% | 4.9¢ | 95.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1.2M
- Liquidity: $98K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for December 31, 2027:
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Sources
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