How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 13:43:55 UTC, Polymarket traders price 140-159 (76.3%), 120-139 (19.6%), 180-199 (4.8%). The market has $330K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140-159 | 76.3% | 76.3¢ | 23.6¢ |
| 120-139 | 19.6% | 19.6¢ | 80.5¢ |
| 180-199 | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.2¢ |
| 200 or more | 3.6% | 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ |
| 160-179 | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $330K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Sources
Related markets
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Richest person on December 31, 2026?
- Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
- Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.