NASA lands on the moon?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:39:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2030 (42.0%), Before 2029 (28.0%), Before 2028 (3.0%). The market has $585K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Before 2029 | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Before 2028 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before 2027 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $585K
- Liquidity: $585K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2030:
If an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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