Next Gemini Pro model release
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:39:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Dec 1, 2026 (9.0%), Before Nov 16, 2026 (6.0%), Before Sep 16, 2026 (2.0%). The market has $155K in volume and closes on Fri, 15 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Before Sep 16, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | Opinion | 50.0% | |
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | Opinion | 50.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $155K
- Liquidity: $155K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Dec 1, 2026:
If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Sources
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