Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:26:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price OpenAI (10.0%), Meta (7.0%), xAI (6.0%). The market has $1.2M in volume and closes on Sat, 02 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
OpenAI10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
Meta7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
xAI6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
ByteDance4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Deepseek4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Baidu4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Moonshot AI3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Mistral3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Nvidia3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Z.ai3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
01A12.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Alibaba2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Sources

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