When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 11:03:51 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Dec 31, 2026 (91.0%), Before Nov 13, 2026 (74.0%), Before Nov 6, 2026 (2.0%). The market has $797K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 31, 2026 | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Before Nov 6, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Before Sep 25, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Oct 2, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $797K
- Liquidity: $797K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Dec 31, 2026:
If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Sources
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