AI capability growth this year?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:53:40 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 1530 score (100.0%), At least 1520 score (100.0%), At least 1540 score (99.0%). The market has $609K in volume and closes on Sat, 02 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 1530 score100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
At least 1520 score100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
At least 1540 score99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
At least 1550 score57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
At least 1600 score6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 1650 score3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
At least 1700 score2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
At least 1750 score2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Sources

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