Red wave this year?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:22:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (1.0%). The market has $1.8M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.8M
- Liquidity: $1.8M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If ALL of the following occur for the 2026 midterms: U.S. House: Republicans win 220 or more seats, U.S. Senate: Republicans hold 55 or more seats, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U.S. House (SEATSCONGRESS), U.S. Senate (SEATSCONGRESS).
Sources
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