Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 11:05:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Democrats, 14 to 16% (74.0%), Democrats, 12 to 14% (22.0%), Democrats, 16% and above (2.9%). The market has $7.6M in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats, 14 to 16% | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Democrats, 12 to 14% | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Democrats, 16% and above | 2.9% | 2.9¢ | 97.1¢ |
| Democrats, 8 to 10% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Democrats, 0 to 2% | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Democrats, 10 to 12% | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Democrats, 2 to 4% | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Republicans win | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Democrats, 6 to 8% | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Democrats, 4 to 6% | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7.6M
- Liquidity: $7.6M
- Closes:
Sources
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