How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:23:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below 193 (98.8%), 203-207 (0.0%), Above 237 (0.0%). The market has $9.8M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 193 | 98.8% | 98.8¢ | 1.2¢ |
| 203-207 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Above 237 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 198-202 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 218-222 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 213-217 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 228-232 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 223-227 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 193-197 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 208-212 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 233-237 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9.8M
- Liquidity: $9.8M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below 193:
If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
Sources
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