How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:31:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 249 (98.6%), 246-249 (0.4%), 210-213 (0.1%). The market has $10.7M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 249 | 98.6% | 98.6¢ | 1.4¢ |
| 246-249 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| 210-213 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 234-237 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 242-245 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 214-217 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 230-233 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 238-241 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 218-221 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 226-229 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Below 210 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 222-225 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10.7M
- Liquidity: $10.7M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 249:
If the Democratic party has above 249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
Sources
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