How high will the S&P get this year?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 12:18:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8,000 or above (18.6%), 8,200 or above (9.0%), 8,400 or above (4.5%). The market has $2.4M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8,000 or above | 18.6% | 18.6¢ | 81.4¢ |
| 8,200 or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 8,400 or above | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
| 8,600 or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 9,000 or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 8,800 or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2.4M
- Liquidity: $2.4M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8,000 or above:
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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