How low will the S&P get this year?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 12:30:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price 6,300 or below (15.0%), 6,100 or below (7.8%), 6,200 or below (6.3%). The market has $1.1M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
6,300 or below15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
6,100 or below7.8%7.8¢92.2¢
6,200 or below6.3%6.3¢93.7¢
5,900 or below5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
6,000 or below5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Sources

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