Will the S&P finish positive this year?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 12:19:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (88.0%). The market has $1.6M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.6M
- Liquidity: $1.6M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Sources
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