How low will the Nasdaq-100 get this year?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 09:26:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price 22,400 or below (25.0%), 22,600 or below (25.0%), 22,800 or below (23.0%). The market has $113K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22,400 or below | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 22,600 or below | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 22,800 or below | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| 22,200 or below | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 22,000 or below | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $113K
- Liquidity: $113K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 22,000 or below:
If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 22000.01, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Sources
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