Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 11:20:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (12.0%). The market has $55K in volume and closes on Mon, 31 Dec 2029.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes12.0%12.0¢88.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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