Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?
As of Fri, 04 Sep 2026 11:32:02 UTC, Opinion traders price Yes (5.3%). The market has $1 in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.3% | 5.3¢ | 94.7¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Polymarket | 3.8% |
Market details
- Venue: Opinion
- Volume: $1
- Liquidity: $5.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the Republic of China (Taiwan), Lai Ching-te, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Lai Ching-te will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Taiwan within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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