Politics prediction markets

Elections, appointments and policy decisions, priced across every venue we aggregate.

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.

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Most liquid Politics markets right now

  1. 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Ossoff 27.0%, $263.6M volume, Kalshi
  2. 2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance 34.0%, $82.3M volume, Kalshi
  3. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Jon Ossoff 27.3%, $207.5M volume, Polymarket
  4. Presidential Election Winner 2028 — Jon Ossoff 20.8%, $147.0M volume, Polymarket
  5. When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2029 70.0%, $48.2M volume, Kalshi
  6. Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 — Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49.0%, $1.6M volume, Polymarket
  7. Mississippi Senate winner? — Scott Colom 97.4%, $31.9M volume, Kalshi
  8. Alaska Senate winner? — Democratic party 97.2%, $24.6M volume, Kalshi
  9. US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 20, 2029 48.0%, $23.5M volume, Kalshi
  10. How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? — Above 52 99.2%, $22.8M volume, Kalshi
  11. Next French Presidential Election — Marine Le Pen 44.5%, $91.8M volume, Polymarket
  12. Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 — Mark Kelly 98.9%, $8.8M volume, Opinion
  13. Will the SAVE Act become law? — Yes 1.6%, $16.0M volume, Kalshi
  14. How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — Below 45 94.0%, $15.8M volume, Kalshi
  15. Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? — Yes 5.4%, $9K volume, Opinion
  16. Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2028 22.0%, $10.3M volume, Kalshi
  17. Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year? — Ric Grenell 59.0%, $9.2M volume, Kalshi
  18. Which leaders will leave office this year? — Christopher Luxon 41.0%, $9.0M volume, Kalshi
  19. How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) — E56 91.2%, $8.0M volume, Kalshi
  20. Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? — Before January 20, 2029 14.0%, $7.8M volume, Kalshi
  21. Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 10+ pts 99.9%, $7.6M volume, Kalshi
  22. Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) — Democrats, 14 to 16% 74.0%, $7.6M volume, Kalshi
  23. Will marijuana be rescheduled? — Before Jan 20, 2029 86.0%, $7.5M volume, Kalshi
  24. Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — Katie Zacharia 97.0%, $7.0M volume, Kalshi
  25. Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? — Yes 2.0%, $6.7M volume, Kalshi
  26. Will the House impeach Trump? — Before Jan 1, 2028 62.0%, $6.3M volume, Kalshi
  27. Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? — Nicolás Maduro 90.5%, $6.1M volume, Kalshi
  28. Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — Anna Kelly 22.0%, $6.1M volume, Kalshi
  29. Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026? — Yes 5.3%, $1 volume, Opinion

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